AI Is Coming for Tasks, Not Jobs—Yet

Here's what keeps me up at night about AI and jobs:

AI isn't coming for entire jobs. It's coming for tasks. And it's starting at the bottom.

Watch what Anthropic just released. It's not about being smarter - it's about understanding context and executing specific tasks. One by one. Better than the average person.

The math is brutal:

AI doesn't need to replace the top 10% of performers. Those people are exceptional.

It just needs to beat the bottom 50%.

That's half the knowledge workforce.

Half.

And here's the part that should terrify you: Those aren't just statistics. They're mortgage payments. School tuitions. Healthcare bills.

Top performers think they're safe. "AI can't do what I do."

Maybe not. But while you're feeling secure, the economy is about to lose 50% of its knowledge workers who can't compete with systems that work 24/7, never complain, and cost less than their coffee budget.

The disruption isn't coming from AI replacing CEOs.

It's coming from AI replacing the analyst who takes three days to build that model. The copywriter who needs a week for that campaign. The developer who struggles with basic debugging.

My timeline? One to five years. Not decades. Years.

The speed depends on how fast these systems improve. But the direction is locked in.

If you're in the top 10%, you've got time. Use it.

If you're not? Start connecting dots that AI can't. Build judgment it lacks. Create value beyond task execution.

Because soon, being average at your job won't just limit your growth.

It'll eliminate your position.